Quote:
Originally Posted by GuyC
What the war in Ukraine has identified, to me at least, is that if you are long term reliant on a geographical area that you do not control for your energy needs, whether that be oil, gas or lithium for batteries for example, then you are running a significant risk.
What we need is a resource that is ubiquitous and reliable.
I don't know but does that mean hydrogen should be the future?
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Yup. We've had a hugely benign geopolitical environment for decades which has allowed the efficiencies of globalisation and the specialisation of labour to give us the benefit of cheap goods.
It's about balance. The U.K. could be good self sufficient if we're all happy to revert to eating turnips with everything. And fuel self sufficiency is potentially possible as we switch to renewables and if we use a lot less.
However, it's worth noting that no one would care about the price of fuel and food if our cost of housing hadn't gone through the roof over the last 20 years. By allowing the cost of housing to rise to such enormous levels along with high levels of consumer debt then households would have the capacity to cope with fuel and food inflation.
Hydrogen is a much more plausible form of energy storage than batteries for boats. You'd still have the problem of weight. You're not going to be carrying a vanadium steel, high pressure tank down the pontoon to your dinghy that's for sure!!! It would be like carrying Barry White with you.
The actual problem with hydrogen is that it doesn't yet exist and all the future supply from all the HIF type projects is already secured by the energy industry followed by the fertiliser industry and then the shipping and haulage industries. It'll be decades before there is any kind of excess at an affordable cost for burning in outboards.
In short, you can easily see petrol outboards banned from inland waterways as electric outboards work but offshore I don't think you'll see any viable change for a long time as there simply isn't any viable replacement to a C4-C12 hydrocarbon fuel on any near to mid term horizon.